Obtaining threshold values from a ROC curve

r roc
Faydey picture Faydey · May 2, 2013 · Viewed 33.4k times · Source

I have some models, using ROCR package on a vector of the predicted class percentages, I have a performance object. Plotting the performance object with the specifications "tpr", "fpr" gives me a ROC curve.

I'm comparing models at certain thresholds of false positive rate (x). I'm hoping to get the value of the true positive rate (y) out of the performance object. Even more, I would like to get the class percentage threshold that was used to generate that point.

the index number of the false positive rate (x-value) that is closest to the threshold without being above it, should give me the index number of the appropriate true positive rate (y-value). I'm not exactly sure how to get that index value.

And more to the point, how do i get the threshold of class probabilities that was used to make that point?

Answer

Zach picture Zach · May 2, 2013

This is why str is my favorite R function:

library(ROCR)
data(ROCR.simple)
pred <- prediction( ROCR.simple$predictions, ROCR.simple$labels)
perf <- performance(pred,"tpr","fpr")
plot(perf)
> str(perf)
Formal class 'performance' [package "ROCR"] with 6 slots
  ..@ x.name      : chr "False positive rate"
  ..@ y.name      : chr "True positive rate"
  ..@ alpha.name  : chr "Cutoff"
  ..@ x.values    :List of 1
  .. ..$ : num [1:201] 0 0 0 0 0.00935 ...
      ..@ y.values    :List of 1
      .. ..$ : num [1:201] 0 0.0108 0.0215 0.0323 0.0323 ...
  ..@ alpha.values:List of 1
  .. ..$ : num [1:201] Inf 0.991 0.985 0.985 0.983 ...

Ahah! It's an S4 class, so we can use @ to access the slots. Here's how you make a data.frame:

cutoffs <- data.frame([email protected][[1]], [email protected][[1]], 
                      [email protected][[1]])
> head(cutoffs)
        cut         fpr        tpr
1       Inf 0.000000000 0.00000000
2 0.9910964 0.000000000 0.01075269
3 0.9846673 0.000000000 0.02150538
4 0.9845992 0.000000000 0.03225806
5 0.9834944 0.009345794 0.03225806
6 0.9706413 0.009345794 0.04301075

If you have an fpr threshold you want to hit, you can subset this data.frame to find maximum tpr below this fpr threshold:

cutoffs <- cutoffs[order(cutoffs$tpr, decreasing=TRUE),]
> head(subset(cutoffs, fpr < 0.2))
          cut       fpr       tpr
96  0.5014893 0.1495327 0.8494624
97  0.4997881 0.1588785 0.8494624
98  0.4965132 0.1682243 0.8494624
99  0.4925969 0.1775701 0.8494624
100 0.4917356 0.1869159 0.8494624
101 0.4901199 0.1962617 0.8494624